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Home News Special Report

The Chicken Neck: China’s Himalayan Hammers, Pakistan’s Bay of Bengal Dagger, Bangladesh’s Demographic Flood

SPECIAL REPORT / World / Politics / Assam

by Mohan Khound
November 18, 2025
in Special Report, ASSAM, Politics, World
Reading Time: 12 mins read
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The Chicken Neck: China’s Himalayan Hammers, Pakistan’s Bay of Bengal Dagger, Bangladesh’s Demographic Flood
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The Chicken Neck: China‘s Himalayan Hammers, Pakistan‘s Bay of Bengal Dagger, Bangladesh‘s Demographic Flood-and the Great-Power Chessboard That Could Sever Northeast

The Chicken Neck: China's Himalayan Hammers, Pakistan's Bay of Bengal Dagger, Bangladesh's Demographic Flood

MOHAN KHOUND

Mohan Khound
MOHAN KHOUND

The narrowest pinch of the Siliguri Corridor, a 22 × 70 km ribbon of tea gardens and rail lines wedged between Nepal and Bangladesh, is no longer merely a cartographic curiosity.

It is the single geographic choke-point that keeps 45 million Indians in eight northeastern states tethered to the republic. Sever it, and Arunachal, Assam, Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram, Tripura, Meghalaya, and Sikkim become a land-locked island ringed by hostile or opportunistic powers.

The Chicken Neck: China's Himalayan Hammers, Pakistan's Bay of Bengal Dagger, Bangladesh's Demographic Flood
Muhammad Yunus is a “puppet of China”
Now, that choke-point is ringed by three concentric threats-each feeding the others-and two opportunistic great powers angling for leverage. The Indian Army has just planted three new garrisons along the Bangladesh frontier; Chinese engineers are pouring concrete into a World War II airbase 12 km away; a Pakistan Navy frigate has broken a 54-year taboo by docking at Chittagong; and millions of illegal Bangladeshi settlers-some say 15 million, others 20-have turned Assam’s demography into a slow-motion time bomb.

This is the story of how the Chicken’s Neck became the world’s most dangerous corridor-and how Russia and the United States are both racing to sell India the rope to hang its enemies with, or to tie its own hands.


I. The New Iron Triangle: Beijing–Islamabad–Dhaka

1. China’s Southern Air Finger

Lalmonirhat Airbase, Rangpur Division, Bangladesh-once the second-largest Allied airfield in Asia-has reawakened. Satellite imagery from 14 November 2025 shows 36 new hardened shelters, drone aprons, and underground fuel farms under Chinese supervision. The runway, dormant since 1958, now gleams with fresh asphalt.

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“This is not a civilian airport,” a senior Eastern Command officer told The Tribune on condition of anonymity. “It is 135 km from Siliguri, within artillery range of the corridor, and can base J-10CEs or CH-4 armed drones in under 48 hours.”

Beijing’s 2002 Defence Cooperation Agreement with Dhaka has already delivered two Type 035G submarines, six frigates, and 16 K-8 trainers. The Yunus interim government, installed after the August 2024 ouster of Sheikh Hasina, has fast-tracked six British-era airfields for revival-Lalmonirhat, Thakurgaon, Ishwardi, Shamshernagar, Comilla, Bogra-under Chinese financing.

2. Pakistan’s Naval Return

On 8 November, PNS Saif, a Chinese-built Zulfiqar-class frigate bristling with Harbah cruise missiles, dropped anchor at Chattogram-the first Pakistani warship to do so since the 1971 Liberation War. Admiral Naveed Ashraf followed with a five-day charm offensive, signing MOUs on maritime domain awareness, counter-piracy, and joint exercises.

In January 2025, Lt Gen SM Kamrul Hassan, Principal Staff Officer of Bangladesh’s Armed Forces, visited Rawalpindi. He left with promises of Pakistan Army training modules on Bangladeshi soil starting February 2026.

“Islamabad is rewriting 1971,” says Lt Gen (Retd) Syed Ata Hasnain. “The same soil that once hosted Mukti Bahini is now being offered as a staging ground against India.”

The Chicken Neck: China's Himalayan Hammers, Pakistan's Bay of Bengal Dagger, Bangladesh's Demographic Flood
Pakistan Navy frigate PNS Saif docked at Bangladesh’s Chattogram port

3. The Demographic Fifth Column

Assam’s 2024–25 deportation dashboard is brutal reading:

  • May: 2,512 push-backs
  • June: 5,037
  • August: 1,200 detected in Guwahati alone

The Ministry of Home Affairs estimates 15–20 million illegal Bangladeshi settlers across the Northeast and Bengal. In Assam, Muslim population growth outpaced Hindus by 5.3 percentage points (2001–2011 Census).

Assam calls it “demographic aggression.” The National Register of Citizens (NRC) excluded 1.9 million in 2019; appeals clog courts. Intelligence dossiers warn that in a two-front war, these enclaves could:

  1. Sabotage rail lines (Teesta bridge, New Jalpaiguri yard)
  2. Harbor infiltrators (ULFA-I, NSCN-K remnants)
  3. Trigger refugee deluges to paralyse relief

“A single spark in Manipur or Tripura could cascade into corridor collapse,” warns Brahma Chellaney.

The Chicken Neck: China's Himalayan Hammers, Pakistan's Bay of Bengal Dagger, Bangladesh's Demographic Flood

2. Air & Missile Shield

  • Hasimara AFS: Two Rafale squadrons, S-400 battery
  • Kailashahar Revival (Tripura): Rafale-M, Prachand helos
  • BrahMos regiments at Siliguri, Tezpur, Misamari

3. Exercises

  • Poorvi Prachand Prahar (Arunachal LAC, Oct 2025): 50,000 troops, live BrahMos fires
  • IAF Eastern Air Command Display (Jorhat, Nov 2025): Su-30MKI, Rafale, Apache demo
The Chicken Neck: China's Himalayan Hammers, Pakistan's Bay of Bengal Dagger, Bangladesh's Demographic Flood
F 16
Chicken neck 2

Yet the Quad needs India as a counterweight. The 10-year Defence Framework (July 2025) promises co-production-GE F-414 engines for Tejas Mk2, Apache fuselages-but delivery timelines stretch to 2032.

The Chicken Neck: China's Himalayan Hammers, Pakistan's Bay of Bengal Dagger, Bangladesh's Demographic Flood
Chicken neck 3

“We are not abandoning Moscow,” Defence Minister Rajnath Singh told India Today. “But we will not be held hostage.”

Moscow’s deeper game: energy diplomacy. Rosneft’s $13 bn stake in Assam oilfields (ONGC Vankor model) ties economics to security. Putin’s October 2025 Delhi visit sealed Chabahar–Vladivostok corridor upgrades-bypassing Malacca if the Bay of Bengal turns hot.

The Chicken Neck: China's Himalayan Hammers, Pakistan's Bay of Bengal Dagger, Bangladesh's Demographic Flood
China rebuilding Lalmonirhat Airport near Siliguri in India?

IV. The Nightmare Scenario

Day Zero: Chinese PLAAF J-20s from Tingri (40 km from Arunachal) strike Hasimara runways. Hour 6: Lalmonirhat launches CH-4 drones with PGMs on Siliguri rail yards. Hour 12: PNS Saif enforces Bay of Bengal blockade; Pakistani JF-17s (ex-Bangladesh) enforce no-fly zone over Tripura. Hour 24: Migrant enclaves in North Bengal erupt-rail sabotage, refugee floods, ULFA-I resurgence.

Indian counter: Rafale-M from Kailashahar, S-400 umbrella, BrahMos strikes on Lalmonirhat. But logistics collapse within 72 hours without the corridor.

V. The Verdict

The Chicken’s Neck is not just geography-it is India’s carotid artery.

  • China wants it encircled to neutralise the Northeast in any Taiwan contingency.
  • Pakistan wants revenge for 1971 and a second front.
  • Bangladesh’s interim regime wants leverage against Delhi.
  • Illegal millions are the human tripwire.

Russia offers battle-tested teeth at discount; America offers shiny brochures at premium. India must fuse indigenous steel (Tejas Mk2, Zorawar tank, Arjun Mk1A) with pragmatic imports-and seal the border before the next monsoon.

As Lt Gen Tiwari told his troops under the shadow of the new Lachit Borphukan archway:

“The enemy is not just across the fence. He is inside the wire, in the tea stalls, in the voter rolls. Stay vigilant-or the Neck snaps.”

In Siliguri’s fog-shrouded dawn, the sentries know: the war has already begun. It is fought with concrete, drones, deportations, and dollars-and the corridor’s pulse grows fainter by the day.

The Chicken Neck: China's Himalayan Hammers, Pakistan's Bay of Bengal Dagger, Bangladesh's Demographic Flood
Lalmonirhat Air Base

The Future of Northeast : Two Paths Diverge

Path One – Fortress Integrated If New Delhi holds the line-completing the East-West Industrial Corridor, electrifying the Siliguri–Guwahati high-speed rail, scaling Act East Policy to $200 bn trade by 2035, and enforcing NRC 2.0 with biometric borders-the Northeast becomes India’s Eastern Powerhouse. Hydroelectric dams on the Brahmaputra power AI data centres; Arunachal’s rare-earth mines feed global chip wars; Assam’s tea and Tripura’s bamboo anchor green supply chains. Ethnic reconciliation via Article 371 safeguards and autonomy pacts heals old wounds. By 2047, the region is Singapore-on-the-Brahmaputra: prosperous, secure, indivisible.

Path Two – Encircled Enclave If the Neck snaps-whether by kinetic strike, demographic implosion, or great-power betrayal-the Northeast drifts into strategic limbo. China dangles infrastructure loans via BCIM corridors; Bangladesh reclaims historical enclaves under “shared heritage”; Pakistan funnels jihadist cadres through revived ULFA pipelines. The eight states fracture: Manipur-style insurgencies flare; refugee megacities ring Guwahati; Russian spare parts dry up amid Ukraine sanctions; American drones arrive too late. By 2040, the region is a buffer zone-nominally Indian, effectively a Chinese satellite, its youth fleeing westward, its rivers dammed upstream, its identity erased.

The fork is here, in the monsoon mud of 2025. India’s choice-integrate or isolate, fortify or falter-will decide whether the Northeast rises as the republic’s crown jewel or falls as its Achilles’ heel. The sentries at Chopra and Dhubri hold the answer in their rifles. History is watching.

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