Narendra Modi‘s Leadership Odyssey: Navigating Paradoxes, Political Landscapes, and Socio-Economic Transformations
ARABINDA RABHA
The leadership of the Prime Minister Narendra Modi has been a multifaceted journey, marked by a complex interplay of economic reforms, cultural promotion, and diplomatic endeavors since his assumption of office in May 2014.
As Modi finds himself at the helm of India’s political landscape, recent times have witnessed the emergence of paradoxes, raising questions about the trajectory of the nation’s economic future and the effectiveness of welfare initiatives.
I would like to delve into the nuanced dimensions of Modi’s leadership, from economic policies and political challenges to the symbolism surrounding the consecration of the Ram Mandir.
Modi’s leadership has encountered paradoxes, notably in the economic realm. The extension of the Prime Minister Garib Kalyan Anna Yojana (PMGKY), a welfare scheme distributing free food grains, appears incongruent with Modi’s vision of propelling India to the status of the third-largest economy by 2028.
The paradox is further accentuated by India’s slip in the 2023 Global Hunger Index, dropping to 111 out of 125 countries. This divergence prompts a critical examination of the coexistence of rapid economic growth and persistent challenges related to hunger and poverty.
While the government may dismiss the Global Hunger Index, the implicit acknowledgment through the extension of free food grain schemes raises questions about the efficacy of welfare programs in tandem with ambitious economic growth targets. A nuanced analysis is imperative, considering the intricate dynamics of India’s economic trajectory, social development, and the role of welfare initiatives in achieving inclusive growth.
Over the past decade, Modi’s economic promises have faced scrutiny, revealing contradictions and challenges. Despite assurances of high GDP growth, India’s economic growth rate has hovered around 5.7% for nine consecutive years, challenging the feasibility of achieving ambitious economic milestones. Unfulfilled promises of creating 2 crore jobs annually since 2014 have heightened doubts about the government’s commitment to employment generation.
A critical examination of the periodic labor force survey data unveils a surge in self-employed individuals engaged in low-quality, informal employment. The rise in the number of unpaid workers within the self-employed category, from 40 million in 2017-18 to 95 million in 2022-23, signals structural weaknesses in the economy. Stagnant wages exacerbate concerns, indicating a decline in the quality of employment and its subsequent impact on purchasing power.
The unemployment rate, a pivotal economic indicator, poses its own set of challenges. As of April 2023, the unemployment rate stood at 8.11%, reflecting an increase from previous years. Despite Modi’s claims of transforming the recruitment process for government jobs and providing unprecedented employment opportunities through initiatives like the Employees’ Provident Fund Organisation (EPFO), skepticism abounds.
The government’s emphasis on tax concessions to stimulate investment and GDP growth, coupled with a relative neglect of employment-intensive sectors, adds complexity to the economic landscape. The uneven distribution of growth benefits contributes to the stagnation in job creation, raising questions about the inclusivity of economic policies.
Modi’s second term has been characterized by transformative policies and notable controversies. The revocation of Jammu and Kashmir’s special status in October 2019 marked a significant moment, triggering debates about autonomy, human rights, and regional integration.
The government’s response to the COVID-19 pandemic showcased decisive action initially, but by 2021, a surge in cases overwhelmed the healthcare system, leading to criticisms of the handling of the crisis.
One of the most contentious policy decisions during Modi’s second term was the attempt to liberalize the agricultural sector. Initiated in June 2020 and codified into law in September, the reforms aimed at opening up agricultural markets. However, they faced strong opposition from farmers who feared vulnerability to exploitation. Massive protests, particularly in Delhi, ensued, leading to significant disruptions and highlighting the complexities of agrarian reforms in India.
The consecration of the Ram Mandir holds immense symbolic significance in India’s socio-political landscape. The construction of the temple, greenlit by India’s Supreme Court in 2019, aligns with the long-standing Hindu nationalist project of the BJP/RSS. The site, considered the birthplace of Lord Ram, has been a historical flashpoint in India’s sectarian politics.
For Modi, the temple consecration transcends religious significance. It serves as a consolidation of his political legacy, particularly given his association with the Ram Temple movement since the early 1990s. As the official patron of the consecration, Modi strategically links the temple with broader infrastructure and welfare projects, effectively combining Hindu nationalism with social welfare—two signature themes of his political agenda.
Looking ahead, the Ram Mandir consecration is expected to play a pivotal role in Modi’s political strategy, especially with the 2024 elections looming. Despite its religious and cultural significance, the event is intertwined with the broader narrative of the BJP’s vision for India—one that emphasizes both economic development and cultural identity.
However, the political landscape is not without challenges. The rise of Hindutva ideologies has empowered radical elements within the BJP, raising concerns about their impact on India’s secular ethos. Instances of mob attacks on religious minorities, the introduction of anti-conversion laws in some states, and the controversial Citizenship Amendment Act have fueled tensions and cast shadows on the inclusivity of the government’s policies.
As Modi contemplates a potential third term, the delicate balance between economic development and cultural identity becomes increasingly critical. While the economic record boasts growth, improved infrastructure, and technological advancements, concerns persist about job creation, human capital development, and potential authoritarian tendencies.
Narendra Modi’s leadership journey is a tapestry woven with intricate patterns of economic reforms, cultural promotion, and political challenges. The paradoxes surrounding economic policies necessitate a comprehensive evaluation of India’s economic landscape, taking into account the coexistence of rapid growth and persistent challenges related to unemployment, hunger, and poverty.
Addressing these paradoxes requires a balanced approach that combines economic reforms with a dedicated focus on inclusive growth. Prioritizing employment-intensive sectors, enhancing the quality of jobs, and fostering robust social safety nets are imperative for fostering a more equitable and resilient economy.
As India navigates the complexities of its economic journey, the effectiveness of policies and their impact on the lives of its citizens will be the true measure of success. Modi’s ability to strike a delicate balance between economic ambitions and cultural identity will shape the trajectory of India’s political landscape and its standing in the global arena.
In the coming years, the outcomes of these intricate dynamics will define the legacy of Modi’s leadership, scrutinized both nationally and internationally.
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